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008			090406 | 000 0 eng d
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050			_aH61.4 _b.D54 1997
100	1		_aDiebold, Francis X. _926159
245	1		_aElements of Forecasting / _cFrancis X. Diebold
260			_aAmerica: _bSouth-Western College، _cc1997.
300			_a392 p: _b؛ill. _c24 cm
505			_aPart 1 Getting started: introduction to forecasting - applications, methods, books, journals and software; six considerations basic to successful forecasting. Part 2 Building, using and evaluating forecasting models; statistical graphics for forecasting; modelling and forecasting trend; modelling and forecasting seasonality; characterizing cycles; modelling cycles - MA, AR and ARMA models; forecasting cycles; putting it all together - a forecasting model with trend, seasonal and cyclical components; unit roots, stochastic trends, ARIMA forecasting models, and smoothing; forecasting with regression models; evaluating and combining forecasts.
520			_aA concise, modern survey of forecasting methods for business and economics which focuses on the core techniques of widest applicability and assumes only an elementary background in statistics. The book is applications-oriented and illustrates all methods with detailed examples and case studies.
650		0	_aForecasting. _926160
942			_2lcc _n0 _cBK
999			_c10936 _d10936